The Counterfactual

The Counterfactual

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Transitioning into AI safety? Design your own adventure
Or: How to transition into AI safety efficiently, enjoyably, and quickly
Aug 31 • Sophie Kim
AI Safety Needs Mid-Career On-Ramps
A proposed strategy to attract competent, experienced talent
Aug 21 • Sophie Kim
I Want You for AI Safety
A pitch to join AI safety, or fund it – prompted by the summer AI started hacking companies.
Aug 12 • Sophie Kim

July 2026

Typhoon Season
The CCP's Hacking Army, Critical Infra, Trump's Texts
Jul 22 • Sophie Kim
China's Technological Playbook
Part 1: The Theft Economy
Jul 16 • Sophie Kim
What’s wrong with grantmaking?
And how do we fix it?
Jul 8 • Sophie Kim

June 2026

Bioweapons in the Age of AI
11,600 words of terror - Bioweapon.AI is finally finished!!
Jun 26 • Sophie Kim
When Russia Wants a Bioweapon,
it... gets one
Jun 4 • Sophie Kim
Turns Out, You Can’t Just Bomb a Datacenter
Notes on kinetic MAIM & escalation constraints
Jun 3 • Sophie Kim

May 2026

How to Actually Spend Billions on AI Safety
A concrete strategy for deploying the largest wave of philanthropic capital in history
May 12 • Sophie Kim

April 2026

Stop Donating to AI Safety Research*
*if you want us to win, choose advocacy instead
Apr 25 • Sophie Kim
Should We Be Worried About Bioweapons?
An Analysis of Historical Case Studies - Part 1: Non-State Actors
Apr 17 • Sophie Kim
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